Stephen Downes

These are generally safe predictions and feel right to me. My favourites: "Nostr ↔ ATProto ↔ ActivityPub three-way bridging becomes functional via BridgyFed or another service by end of 2026. The 'protocol wars' narrative collapses into 'just pick your client.'" Also, "At least one fully independent ATProto stack - PDS, Relay, and AppView operating without dependency on Bluesky PBC infrastructure - will achieve viability in 2026, meaning it has paying customers or sustainable funding. This will be the year ATProto proves (or fails to prove) it can exist beyond Bluesky-the-company."