Content-type: text/html ~ Stephen's Web ~ Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI

Stephen Downes

Knowledge, Learning, Community

This paper (38 page PDF) proclaims itself as "the largest survey of its kind" and reports on a survey of "2,778 researchers who had published in top-tier artificial intelligence (AI) venues, asking for their predictions on the pace of AI progress and the nature and impacts of advanced AI systems." If I had to characterize them, the answers are, I would say, 'rapid', 'advanced' and 'mixed'. Also, "respondents were asked when four specific occupations would become fully automatable: 'Truck driver,' 'Surgeon,' 'Retail salesperson,' and 'AI researcher'." The answer? Not long. Have we changed the way we educate people for a world in which this takes less than 40 years? Nope.

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Stephen Downes Stephen Downes, Casselman, Canada

Copyright 2024
Last Updated: Jun 14, 2024 02:59 a.m.

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