While I think a lot of people will appreciate this set of predictions, and while I think they're not inaccurate, I think that in order to really understand what AI will do in the future we have to get outside the tech and politics bubble (and especially the US-focused bubble). For example, Bryan Alexander predicts, "More GAI applications start to appear, increasingly specialized or marked by economic, political, and cultural identities." OK, this could be true, but the range of possibilities is not nearly exhausted by economic, political or cultural identities; there will be as many types of AIs as there are personalities, and the sorts of personalities that are important will probably not map to what contemporary news media thinks is important. Similarly, the "round of new media cultural reformations" he predicts includes "what constitutes real creativity, how to restructure copyright, what freedom of speech means, authorship, journalism, information overload, storytelling and art expectations and forms," all issues that matter today, but that will become meaningless in a world where AI does the creating and comprehending and our priorities include finding purpose in life, expressing values, and exploring the depths of experience. Related: charGPT and the end of high school English.
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