Content-type: text/html Downes.ca ~ Stephen's Web ~ A persistence paradox

Stephen Downes

Knowledge, Learning, Community
You have worse odds of scoring a YouTube hit than of winning the lottery, and they don't improve with persistence. "The empirical hit probability for a YouTube producer is lower than that of a lottery buyer regardless of the persistence level. In particular, while the success probability of a lottery buyer with persistence level 100 is 63.4 percent that of a YouTube producer with the same persistence level is only 22.6 percent. Thus, the benefit of persistence on YouTube is much worse for content producers than that of a lottery." More from the January edition of First Monday.

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Stephen Downes Stephen Downes, Casselman, Canada
stephen@downes.ca

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