2016 eLearning Hype Curve Predictions

Andy Hicken, Web Courseworks, Dec 28, 2015
Commentary by Stephen Downes

No real surprises here, but I appreciate the slightly different take offered by Andy Hicken. At the top opf the hype cycle are badges. MOOCs and xAPI are on the way down. MOC (Maintenance of Certification) have troughed and are on the way up again. Still on the hype cycle accelerator are subscription learning, gamification, and free online education. Hicken also observes, correctly, that "online learning lags behind other industries in adopting new technologies. This is not because people in online learning are not interested in new technologies; it’s because we’re not a high-revenue industry compared to giant industries like consumer goods."

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