Content-type: text/html Downes.ca ~ Stephen's Web ~ Confound it! Correlation is (usually) not causation! But why not?

Stephen Downes

Knowledge, Learning, Community

When somebody proposes a simple mechanism to improve (say) learning outcomes, they're most always wrong. But why? It's because they have ascribed a simple cause-effect relation onto a complex phenomenon. But why should complexity impact causation? Complex phenomena are densely connected networks where correlations are increasingly likely to be the result of underlying conditions rather than the result of one thing causing another. This article makes the point, with mathematics, and a good example drawn from the literature on cancer research.

Today: 0 Total: 1110 [Direct link] [Share]

Image from the website
View full size


Stephen Downes Stephen Downes, Casselman, Canada
stephen@downes.ca

Copyright 2024
Last Updated: Apr 20, 2024 07:31 a.m.

Canadian Flag Creative Commons License.

Force:yes