Epidemiological modeling of online social network dynamics

John Cannarella, Joshua A. Spechler, Desire2Learn, Jan 22, 2014
Commentary by Stephen Downes

Well, this is putting your model to the predictive test. The authors write, "Extrapolating the best fit model into the future suggests that Facebook will undergo a rapid decline in the coming years, losing 80% of its peak user base between 2015 and 2017." I for one would not be surprised to see that happen (I wonder what the model says about Google - I'd say that in ten years they will be where Microsoft is today; Apple, meanwhile, will be far below where they are now, behind giants like Asus). Via Time. Related: the problem with Facebook is that it keeps most things from you.

Views: 0 today, 155 total (since January 1, 2017).[Direct Link]
Creative Commons License. gRSShopper

Copyright 2015 Stephen Downes ~ Contact: stephen@downes.ca
This page generated by gRSShopper.
Last Updated: Oct 22, 2017 02:37 a.m.