Why predicting online learning developments is risky but necessary

Tony Bates, online learning, distance education resources, Jan 05, 2013
Commentary by Stephen Downes

Tony Bates argues, convincingly, that we cannot avoid making predictions, not even in higher educations (after all, our jobs may depend on them), but if we must, then we should do them well. He points out how little data we have to work on, and considers some other authors (mentioning in passing how inaccurate Horizon Report has been over the years).

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