OLDaily, by Stephen Downes

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December 25, 2013

The worst tech predictions of 2013 -- and two that hit the mark
Bill Snyder, InfoWorld, December 25, 2013


I like posts describing the failed precictions of the previous year much better than the posts listing the predictions for the next year, of only because the latter seem to outnumber the former by about 100-1. One of the predictions was that MOOCs will sweep the campus, which Snyder describes as incorrect (he then cites a study of a million MOOC students, so 'incorrect' is in the eye of the beholder, I guess). Of course, I make my own predictions from time to time, such as the one in September, 2012, that Apple will tank (also one of the predictions listed on this page). As the article says, Apple rebounded in 2013. But this is where it pays to be specific - my prediction, in 2012, was that Apple would never reach the $700 share price again - and in 2013, it hasn't come close to that. It's good to make predictions, but even better to check them.

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MOOCs, SPOCs, and LAPs: The Evolving World of Education
Anton Dominique, Huffington Post, December 25, 2013

Some commentary on MOOCs, leaning to the marketing perspective (and touting 'Small Private Online Courses, aka the status quo), but with this bit at the end, from the Economist: "Rupert Murdoch is allowing Amplify, his digital education business, to run up losses of around $180m this year in hope of dominating an edtech market that News Corporation reckons will soon be worth $44 billion in America alone." Gee, that`s something to tack on to my LPSS reports to ask for more funding.

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Copyright 2010 Stephen Downes Contact: stephen@downes.ca

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